Thursday, August 30, 2012

'Worst year ever': Number of West Nile cases sets record

Wed Aug 29, 2012 12:47pm EDT

Aug 29 (Reuters) - A total of 1,590 U.S. cases of West Nile virus, including 66 deaths, have been reported through late August this year, the highest human toll reported since the mosquito-borne disease was first detected in the country in 1999, health officials said on Wednesday.

The toll is rising quickly and "w e think the numbers will continue to rise," said Dr. Lyle Petersen, director of the U .S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's D ivision of Vector-Borne Infectious Diseases.

Through last week, 1,118 cases and 41 deaths had been reported, and the updated figures represent a 40 percent in crease in the number of cases and a 61 percent spike in the number of deaths.

In hard-hit Texas, the number of confirmed cases soared to 733, up 197 from last week, said Dr. David Lakey, commissioner of the Texas Department of State Health Services. Deaths reached 31, up 10 from last week.

"It looks like it is going to be our worst year ever," said Lakey. "As I look at the data, I'm not convinced we have peaked."

Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/08/29/usa-health-westnile-idUSL2E8JT96X20120829?feedType=RSS&feedName=financialsSector&rpc=43

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Rachel Corrie: Israeli court rejects US activist's family lawsuit (+video)

Rachel Corrie: Israeli court says the nation's military was not at fault for the 2003 death of US protester Rachel Corrie.

By Diaa Hadid,?Associated Press / August 28, 2012

Cindy, right, and Craig Corrie, center, the parents of Rachel Corrie, a pro-Palestinian activist who was killed by an Israeli bulldozer in Gaza in 2003, sit together with their daughter Sarah in the court room just before the district court's ruling in Haifa, Israel, Tuesday, Aug. 28.

Ariel Schalit/AP

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An Israeli court ruled Tuesday that the military was not at fault for killing a U.S. activist crushed by an army bulldozer during a 2003 demonstration, rejecting a lawsuit filed by her parents.

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'; } else if (google_ads.length > 1) { ad_unit += ''; } } document.getElementById("ad_unit").innerHTML += ad_unit; google_adnum += google_ads.length; return; } var google_adnum = 0; google_ad_client = "pub-6743622525202572"; google_ad_output = 'js'; google_max_num_ads = '1'; google_feedback = "on"; google_ad_type = "text"; google_adtest = "on"; google_image_size = '230x105'; google_skip = '0'; // --> A report on the court verdict and reaction to it by Rachel Corrie's family.

The bulldozer driver has said he didn't see 23-year-old Rachel?Corrie, a pro-Palestinian activist who was trying to block the vehicle's path during a demonstration in the Gaza Strip against the military's demolition of Palestinian homes.

The military deemed her March 2003 death an accident, but Corrie's parents said the driver acted recklessly and filed a civil lawsuit two years later.

Explaining the district court's ruling, Judge Oded Gershon said Corrie "put herself in a dangerous situation" and called her death "the result of an accident she brought upon herself." He said the military conducted a proper investigation and rejected the Corrie family's request for a symbolic $1 in damages and legal expenses.

Corrie's family, who flew in from the U.S. for the verdict, lamented the court's ruling.

"We are of course, deeply saddened and deeply troubled by what we heard today," said her mother, Cindy Corrie of Olympia, Washington. "I believe this was a bad day. Not only for our family but for human rights, the rule of law, and also for the country of Israel."

The family said it was strongly considering an appeal to the Israeli Supreme Court, but wanted to read the full verdict before making a final decision.

Corrie's sister, Sarah, held up a picture of her sister lying lifeless in bulldozer tracks. The family's lawyer, Hussein Abu Hussein pointed at it: "How did the bulldozer not see her?" he asked. To say that the driver did not see her "is lies to the living and also lies to the dead."

Following the verdict, the Israeli state prosecutor's office called Corrie's death a "tragic accident" but noted the court exonerated the military of "any blame for negligence." It said it had presented three investigations that found the driver could not have seen Corrie, and noted that the driver acted in a "a military action in the course of war."

"The work was done while exercising maximum caution and prudence and without the ability to foresee harming anyone," it said.

The home demolitions were part of an unsuccessful campaign to halt thousands of attacks on soldiers and Jewish settlers in southern Gaza, along the border with Egypt, in the preceding 3 ? years. On the day Rachel?Corrie died, she and other activists had entered a closed military zone to protest the demolition policy.

According to the U.N. agency handling Palestinian refugees, the military had left more than 17,000 Gazans homeless in the four years after a Palestinian uprising against Israel erupted in September 2000. The demolitions drew international condemnation at the time.

In her death, Corrie became the embodiment of what Palestinian activists say is Israel's harsh repression of nonviolent protest to occupation. Israel says by entering conflict zones to try to interfere with military activities, activists recklessly choose to risk their lives.

Her parents have relentlessly pursued her case since going to court in 2005 after a military investigation cleared the driver.

They say they have spent $200,000 to fly in witnesses, attend 15 hearings and translate more than 2,000 pages of court transcripts.

At the news conference, Cindy Corrie read a passage from one of her daughter's letters, biting her lip as her husband, grim-faced, held a microphone for her.

"Life is very difficult. Human beings can be kind, brave and strong, even in the most difficult of circumstances," Rachel?Corrie wrote. "Thank you for existing, for showing how good people can be, despite great hardship."

The Corrie case was the first civil lawsuit of a foreigner harmed by Israel's military to conclude in a full civilian trial. Others have resulted in out-of-court settlements.

Source: http://rss.csmonitor.com/~r/feeds/csm/~3/2QaXu2Ma_9s/Rachel-Corrie-Israeli-court-rejects-US-activist-s-family-lawsuit-video

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Wednesday, August 29, 2012

Video: As Isaac looms, neighbors band together



>>> here's the location tonight of this big and slow moving storm. eight miles an hour. that means it's going to be a long night for all the folks along the gulf coast . they've learned a lot and seen a lot in recent years and could teach us all a lesson about getting along and "making a difference" for each other. that part of the story is underway with gabe gutierrez in new orleans.

>> you safe?

>> reporter: on tennessee street in the lower ninth ward, robert green is on patrol.

>> across the street, the garretts have left, the andrews have left. clayton and them are staying.

>> reporter: he walks this street because he learned a hard lesson seven years ago.

>> it's really important to know who's here, because one of the things during katrina is, you didn't know who and where people were.

>> reporter: when the levees failed, his home washed away. he lost his mother, his 3-year-old granddaughter and many of his neighbors. never again, he said.

>> it's about knowing who's here, so if something bad happens, you know what you have to stop.

>> reporter: across the street --

>> you all be safe.

>> reporter: she evacuated. nola checks in with her neighbor.

>> you never know who you're going to need in this world.

>> reporter: and in st. bernard's parish, a new shipment of generators wasn't the only thing that brought people together.

>> our customers become like family. your neighbors become like family.

>> that's the guy that built my house.

>> reporter: right next door, making sure this time no one is forgotten. gabe gutierrez, nbc news,

Source: http://video.msnbc.msn.com/nightly-news/48819568/

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Battered Men: The Hidden Side of Domestic Violence

Often we tend to think of domestic violence as something that happens to women. Investigators at the Group Health Center for Health Studies, however, say domestic violence against men is "under-studied and often hidden".

In a study published in the June 2008 American Journal of Preventative Medicine, the researchers presented data which contradicts five commonly held misconceptions about domestic violence against men:

  1. Few men experience domestic violence. The truth is that it is more common than believed. When 400 randomly sampled men were interviewed by phone, lead researcher Dr. Robert J. Reid and his colleagues found that 5% had experienced domestic violence in the previous year, 10% in the past five years and 29% at some time during their lifetime. Domestic violence was defined as both physical abuse (slapping, hitting, kicking or forced sex) and non-physical abuse (threats, constant disparaging remarks or controlling behavior).
  2. Abuse of men has no serious effects. Even though women are more likely to be physically abused than men, the researchers found that men who were abused - even if the abuse was non-physical - suffered serious, long-term effects on their mental health. Depressive symptoms were nearly three times as common in older men who had experienced abuse than in those who had not.
  3. Abused men don't stay with their abusers. Women, especially those who have children or are financially dependent upon their husbands, often stay in abusive relationships. The expectation held, however, is that men would be better able to leave their abusers. "We were surprised to find that most men in abusive relationships also stay, through multiple episodes, for years," said Dr. Reid.
  4. Domestic violence only affects the poor. Not so, say the researchers. Their study showed that people from all walks of life are affected.
  5. Ignoring it will make it go away. Ignoring a problem does not make it go away, however, many men are ashamed to speak out about abuse because of society's expectations that men are strong and in control. The researchers found that older men were less likely to speak out about their abuse than younger men.

In a press release, the researchers made it clear that they did not want to downplay violence against women. "Our team is concerned about abuse of people: of women as well as men," said Dr. Reid. In fact, the men who were interviewed were asked the same questions that had been asked of women in a previous study about domestic violence against women.

If you are a man or woman who has been abused by the significant other in your life, help is a phone call away. You can reach the National Domestic Violence Hotline toll-free at 1-800-799-SAFE (7233).

Photo Credit: StockTrek / Getty Images

Source: http://depression.about.com/b/2012/08/28/battered-men-the-hidden-side-of-domestic-violence-2.htm

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Las Cumbres Observatory spectrographs acquire target robotically

ScienceDaily (Aug. 28, 2012) ? Two identical FLOYDS spectrographs, installed in recent weeks at telescopes 6,000 miles apart, robotically acquired a supernovae target this week. Due to the level of precision required and the difficulty involved, few if any, other ground-based spectrographs have ever achieved this milestone.

"This is unprecedented," staff astronomer David Sand explained. "In a matter of just a few weeks, Las Cumbres Observatory was able to install the spectrographs, achieve first light, and begin robotic operations. It's unheard of." Sand is already gathering data from the spectrographs to support his research.

The FLOYDS spectrographs -- unique for their combination of design, capabilities, and level of automation -- were named after the band Pink Floyd, specifically for their album artwork on The Dark Side of the Moon, which shows a prism dispersing white light into the colors of the rainbow. Instead of sunlight, FLOYDS makes rainbows out of distant supernova explosions and gamma ray bursts to probe their chemical compositions and inner workings.

FLOYDS, installed on Faulkes Telescope North (FTN) at Haleakala Observatory and on Faulkes Telescope South (FTS) at Siding Spring Observatory, are some of the first spectrographs designed to acquire astronomical targets, observe them, and process the data without the aid of on-site astronomers. Observations that are currently rare, like studies of supernovae and gamma-ray bursts hours after their explosion, are expected to be made routine, since the telescopes can get on-target much more rapidly than they could if they were operated by people.

While robotic imaging telescopes are becoming increasingly common in astronomy, robotic spectrographs are rarely built for ground-based observatories. This is because the opening to a spectrograph is a narrow slit, and getting starlight to fall through the slit requires pointing the telescope to better than two-tenths of an arcsecond. This is a daunting proposition -- an arcsecond is equivalent to the width of a human hair as seen from 10 yards away.

Another unique feature of the spectrographs is their ability to observe the entire visible spectrum in a single exposure. "The FLOYDS spectrographs are sensitive to light over the entire range of visible colors," explained LCOGT Science Director, Tim Brown, "including some that cannot be seen by the human eye."

Most spectrographs require two exposures to see over such a wide range, but FLOYDS uses a clever trick to double the range it captures. Light entering the spectrograph strikes a diffraction grating, which splits the light out into a spectrum. But each diffraction angle is shared by two radiant frequencies. Most spectrographs, to achieve an unmuddied spectrum, filter out the higher or lower spectrum, leaving just half the range. FLOYDS adds a prism instead, simply offseting the location of the higher frequency spectrum to a different location on the digital camera, and capturing a much wider range of colors.

Las Cumbres Observatory Global Telescope (LCOGT) has owned and operated FTN and FTS since 2005. To date, observing on these telescopes has been limited to imaging without spectroscopic capabilities. A team from LCOGT including lead mechanical engineer Matt Dubberley, astronomer David Sand, telescope technicians Mark Elphick and Mark Willis completed the installation of the spectrographs during June and July.

Finding New Things

Sand, who worked closely on the development and testing of the spectrographs, and who managed the installations, said "FLOYDS is the next step in understanding the physics behind time varying astrophysical events. We will be able to identify supernovae earlier than ever before, perhaps gaining insight into their explosion mechanisms. FLOYDS also allows us to monitor objects for months on end, something that is very difficult to arrange with non-robotic telescopes. Coupling robotic spectrographs into our telescope network gives astronomers a huge edge."

When supernovae and gamma-ray bursts occur, astronomers may have only minutes or hours to capture the fast-evolving details, such as observing the actual supernova shock breaking out of a red giant star. Such events have been seen only a handful of times, but these observations are critical in linking the explosions to the progenitor star, which cannot otherwise be seen. Previously, shock breakouts were only seen when the astronomers got lucky. The right observer had to be at the right telescope, at the right time, when a supernova close enough was discovered early.

But robotic spectrographs like FLOYDS can be programmed to automatically observe targets from a sky survey, and interrupt other telescope observations to get them. And by having two spectrographs on opposite sides of the globe, chances are improved that one of them will be in the dark and ready to observe in the hours immediately following a supernova explosion.

"Any time you get a new capability in astronomy, you find new things," says Andy Howell, leader of the supernova group at Las Cumbres Observatory. "This is my dream spectrograph. There's a whole universe of stuff out there we've barely glimpsed because of technological limitations. Not any more!"

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The above story is reprinted from materials provided by Las Cumbres Observatory Global Telescope.

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Source: http://feeds.sciencedaily.com/~r/sciencedaily/~3/AccflwIie7U/120829094207.htm

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Sunday, August 26, 2012

University of Virginia Declines to Host Obama Campaign Rally

The University of Virginia has declined a request to host President Obama for a campaign rally next week, complicating his planned tour of swing-state college campuses to court younger voters.

The school cited the impact of a presidential visit on the university's academic schedule and strained finances as reasons for turning Obama away.

The president's re-election campaign had hoped to rally students on the Charlottesville campus Wednesday on the final stop of a two-day tour aimed at countering the Republican National Convention in Florida.

On Tuesday, Obama will rally with students on the campuses of Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, and Colorado State University in Ft. Collins, Colo. Classes at both schools began Monday. Classes at UVA are scheduled to begin Tuesday.

Obama campaign officials visited UVA last week to scout possible venues, submitting a formal proposal with the school for two options, university spokesman Carol Wood said. Neither was deemed acceptable.

"The use of either of the desired sites would require closing buildings adjacent to the sites for the entire day," Wood explained in a statement. "The cancellation of 186 classes would occur. ? This would result in an extraordinary disruption of the second day of the new semester."

Wood said the university would also have had to foot the bill for added security measures on campus and along the presidential motorcade route. Because of the school's nonpartisan status, it would have to offer "the same accommodations and bear the same costs" for Mitt Romney, she said.

"While there are certainly financial implications to a state university that has seen faculty and staff salary freezes for the past five years, the primary reasons for declining the offer were related to disruption of the first days of classes," Wood said.

The Obama campaign announced Saturday that the president would still travel to Charlottesville on Wednesday but hold an off-campus rally at the nTelos Wireless Pavilion instead. The venue is roughly 20 blocks from the center of campus.

Wood said Obama campaign officials "completely understood" the decision and justification for not approving the request.

The president's tour, meant to counter the Republican convention in Florida, will highlight "the choice for young voters in this election" and push voter registration and turnout, the Obama campaign said.

Also Read

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/university-virginia-declines-host-obama-campaign-rally-182145030--abc-news-politics.html

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'Forced Savings', the Credit Accelerator and the 'Revolving fund of ...

From the models we have produced in the previous weeks we are finally in a position to begin to tackle some of the?fundamental?puzzles and controversies of monetary theory. ?Some of these controversies being?forgotten?in the neoclassical literature because of assumptions of money?neutrality, equilibrium and the unimportance of credit/debt.

From our quadruple entry models of?banking?and?investment?we have shown that even within a framework where by definition (in the?Keynesian?sense) investment creates savings there are?noticeable?lags and periods over the term of a loan where they are not equal in terms of invested funding=additional balances, they?balance?only over the term of a good loan. ?We have also shown that turnover matters and because of this excess reserves matters as does the turnover period of a loan. ?In a sense we have extended the inquiry that Torrens began, that if turnover matters and profits equalise through capital markets then what must this mean for prices? ?We have extended this approach to banking and what it means for growth. ?The most striking result concerns our investigation of Keyne?s concept of a ?Revolving Fund of Finance? ?we have?demonstrated?that this can grow and service additional loans without any prior savings (in the sense of funding) once it begins profitable investment. ?But in a striking result we have shown that this fund can only commence and expand above this ?natural rate? through prior ?crusoe? type savings. ?A result that cuts rights?across?the debates of Keynes and Hayek ? in a sense they were both partially right on this issue.

I want to explore this further. ?One of Hayeks key obsessions was over ?forced savings? it is central to his concept of the business cycle and capital theory. ?It is founded on the view that credit fuelled growth matters to pricing structure ? it is a particular case of the Cnatillon effect. ?This is?intriguing?because the?rediscovery?(I word I use deliberately) by Keen, Mayer et .al of a Credit?Accelerator ? a concept that undermines Says Law ? is on exactly the same basis.

Of course the mainstream view has been that credit?doesn?t?really matter for pricing and business cycles (if it?doesn?t?matter for pricing then by definition it cannot matter for business cycles). ?The point I think was most strongly put by Ricardo in 1819 during?parliamentary?cross-examination on the bullionist controversy.

Credit, I think, is the means which is alternately transferred from one to another, to make use of capital actually existing; it does not create capital; it determines only by whom that capital should be employed?Capital can only be acquired by saving [1]

Hayek certainly held that capital could only be created by prior ?Crusoe? type saving, but he disagreed on the issue of pricing extending the classical idea of ?forced?savings?.

The idea of forced savings has been poorly framed. ?Machlup detected no fewer than 26 different uses of it. ?Schumpteter thought the term unfortunate and confusing.

The form from which Hayek obtained it comes from late C19 economist Thomas Joplin ? a key figure (founder of the Currency school and to my mind the Austrian school as well) in that it is from his conception of ?forced savings? that Wicksell adopted the concept of a ?natural? rate of interest. ?(Viners treatment in?Studies in the Theory of International Trade is recommended). Joplin:

If a person borrows one thousand pounds of a banker who issues his own notes, the banker?has at once added a thousand pounds to the capital and a thousand pounds to the currency of the country. To the party who has borrowed the money, he has given the power of going into the market and purchasing a thousand pounds? worth of commodities, but in doing this he raises their price and diminishes the value of the money in previous circulation to the extent of one thousand pounds, so that he acquires the commodities by depriving those of them who held the money by which they were represented and to whom they properly belonged. On the other hand, if a person pays a thousand pounds into the hands of a banker, and the currency is contracted to that extent, both one thousand pounds of capital and?one thousand pounds of currency are destroyed. The commodities represented by the money thus saved and cancelled, are thrown on the market, prices are reduced, and the power of consuming them is obtained by the holders of the money left in circulation[2]

You will note here a completely ?horizontalist? position. ?The expansion of the monetary stock has a 1:1 impact on prices. Joplin did not consider this a good thing.

Legitimately a banker can never lend money which has not been saved out of income. Money saved represents commodities which might have been consumed by the party who saves it. Interest is paid for the use of the commodities and not for the money.[3]

And Viner comments

If banks have the power to issue money, the amount of such issue is determined by the rate of interest which the banks charge on loans. If forced saving is to be avoided, banks should charge ?the natural rate of interest,? which he defines as the rate which keeps savings and borrowings equal.[4]

For Joplin the quantity of money,

?which ought, if possible, to be as fixed as the sun-dial, came to depend upon the credit of bankers with the public, and the credit of the public with the bankers.. which ought no more to affect the amount of currency in circulation than the motions of the sun.?

This of course is exactly Hayek?s and Mise?s position, and setting aside the complications of their theory?s on?capital?structure and the business cycle this is the?analytical?core of their system. ?Bank credit alters the price structure. ?Hayek added to this what he called the ?Ricardo effect? that is with relative labour costs increased (because of the increase in prices of consumer goods) there would be capital/labour substitution which would alter the capital structure.

In an echo of the closely related classical concept it creates ?fictitious capital? or in his terminology ?malinvestment?. ?Because of the dogma that only savings create capital it is termed ?forced savings? when it in fact is not savings at all but disaving, being forced to run down idle reserves because of a price increase. ?Note this is the exact opposite of the opposite dogma of Hahn (and Rae and ? in part- Schumpter) that only credit can create capital.

[Note there is another partially related use of the term 'forced savings' in the literature relating to behaviour when credit is created under conditions of full employment. ?This is the only use of the term treated by Keynes. ?We are not concerned for the time being with this usage here but the?broader?concept used by Joplin and Hayek which applies in their schema throughout the entire upswing of the business cycle].

Hayek builds on this but does not alter this essential foundation. ?For Joplin the objection was distributional, wage costs would rise before capital saw increased profits, debtors would?receive?income before creditors would receive interest. ?There is little of this in Hayek or Mises for whom the objection relates to the alteration of capital structure.

The first point to note about this theory is that it is wholly incompatible with a ?pure? time preference theory of interest. ?Although the Austrian Theory of the Business Cycle is often presented as one of where Central Bank induced distortions above and below the ?natural rate? drive the cycle, but in reality, as is very clear in its original form from Joplin, the objection is to fractional reserve banking, the use of credit and the expansion of credit (lending power in our terminology- which excess reserves allow) ? which is the issue. ?This is the presentation in the more thoughtful Austrian ?treatments (such as at the Mises Wiki).

If it is the case then that the interest rate is influenced by monetary ?distorting? factors then it is not set by pure time preference, there is an additional influence.

On this issue Joplin, was very clear, clearer than Mises (in the Theory of Money and Credit) or Hayek (In Prices and Production, Hayek later modified much of his monetary approach), in his view the interest rate was not set by the supply and demand for saving but by the supply and demand for money. ?It was a theory well ahead of its time ? in?essence?Keynes Theory of liquidity preference even including a breakdown of the motivations to hold money at any one point in time.[5] ?So for Joplin it was an?imbalance?in the demand for money, caused by an?imbalance?between savings and investment (though by no?means?the only potential imbalance) which caused the interest rate to vary above or below its ?natural? rate which he defined as that being as the rate design to keep savings and investments in?balance.

In Hayek we can see a strong assumption that all monetary distortions that change price structures away from the relative values of a pure barter economy are a bad thing. ?The assumption is that it is the excess demand for money (in Walrasian terms) which creates disequilibrium and drives the business cycle. ?Whatever the weaknesses in Hayek?s approach due to his anti-credit bias this is an important insight.

However if all investment is forced to come from past capital accumulation then that presumes a past and steady period of capital accumulation to fuel future economic expansion. ?This deeply ?English? assumption was challenged by many C19 political economists in America and Germany. ?Without a period of past capital accumulation how were they to compete? This led to schools of writing where credit and infant industry protection were viewed favourably. ?For example by the end of the century in Taussig?s writings we see the argument that when credit is advanced it is done so in anticipation of future profits. ?The key here being that a high profit rate, justifying a high interest rate, can compensate for lack of past capital accumulation.

This all rather begs a question ? so does ?investment? need to be balanced by ?savings? in terms of express?withdrawal?of?balances?which could be used for consumption (which we more accurately term funding rather than saving)?

Joplin, in terminology later adopted by Austrians, saw ?saving? as simply being deferred consumption. ?From the perspective of the law of large numbers if ?saving? and borrowing are?occurring?at the same rate then the inflationary expansion of spending at the beginning of a loan period would be?balanced?by the deflationary contraction in spending caused by deferred consumption (as John Rae rightly saw it) towards the end of the loan period. ?This is also the way Hawtry verbally described the credit?accelerator?- in that a change in the rate of loans granted is necessary to have a net impact on effective demand and prices. ?The same approach can also be used to describe the impact on effective demand from investment funded from Crusoe type savings. ?At first saving is deflationary, but this as?Austrians?such as Strigl describe, simply builds up a ?pool of funding? for consumer goods during the period of?production?prior to sales. ?Again deferred consumption of consumer goods. ?Again the law of large numbers suggests that in a period of unchanging lending then the deflationary downswings are cancelled from the inflationary upswings.

The issue of inflation from credit has often been presented in terms of the special case of full employment where all labour is fully employed and where is ?investment? is fully funded by savings. (this is the second application of the term?forced savings? in our note above). ?In that special case (described by Bentham and Machlup amongst others) any increase in credit must lead to a direct increase in demand for productive goods which with all factors fully employed must lead to a rise in prices, a rise in profits and a forced reduction in money?balances?from consumers.

In the more?general?case though there is ?no assumption that any factor is fully employed,?merely?that an increase in demand for a good may or may not lead to an increase in the price of the good depending on the?elasticity?of its supply curve. ?The key though is whether of not NET there is an increase of decrease in demand in terms of the credit?accelerator. ?We have seen that if the rate of lending is static then the law of large numbers ensures that inflationary and?deflationary?pressures exactly cancel out. ?If the credit?accelerator?rises there will be inflationary pressure, falls deflationary pressure.

You might imagine then that this would be?equivalent?to a world where ?savings? and investments are in equilibrium ? you would be wrong. ?It is at this point we can apply the results of our modelling. ?What this shows is that even if such funding exactly?balances investment it does not result in in a?neutral?position in terms of prices, that is because the revolving fund of finance enables the?exponential?growth of lending power due to profits from interest and not returned as dividends expanding lending power. ?In that case with the supply of endogenous money increasing interest rates must be pushed down, even if ?savings? (funding) and investment are in?balance. ?We can see that this must be so from our finding that changes in lending power = changes in savings for funding, so if lending power is increasing from retention of the ?bankers surplus? it is possible for interest rates to remain static if there is compensating dis-saving?- a negative and?balancing?rate of change in saving.

Ill present a simple model. ?In the first we have a ?frontier? bank with limited initial equity $10,000 ? lending in conditions of a high rate of profit. ?Lets say it fractionally levers that to $90,000 of lending power leaving $1,000 in reserves. ?Lets assume an interest rate of 7% of which the bank makes 5% profit. ?(for simplicity for the moment we are leaving aside inflation), let us also assume that the bank pays a 5% dividend recycling 95% of the banking surplus to lending power. ?I also assume that the k factor ? that is the proportion of the new deposits retained in?the?bank but not spent is 0.05.

This produces the following:

Lending Power Interest Profits Dividends Reserves Excess Reserves Excess Reserves Levered
90,000 6,300 1,800 90 83,790 0 0
91,710 6,420 1,834 92 85,382 80 716
94,169 6,592 1,883 94 87,671 114 1,030
96,988 6,789 1,940 97 90,296 131 1,181
100,012 7,001 2,000 100 93,111 141 1,267
103,179 7,223 2,064 103 96,060 147 1,327
106,467 7,453 2,129 106 99,120 153 1,377

You can see from this can lending power overall increases much more rapidly than savings (in the Keynesian sense of unspent?balances) because of the increase to the revolving fund of finance. ?Two issues to make the model more realistic. ?Firstly because of a wealth effect savings are?likely?to rise with income. ?Secondly their is a second order effect with excess reserves being placed in other banks ? this is a single bank model ? the extent of this will depend on the turnover rate of?balances.

The effect of this is that banks, at times of steady growth, will ? over time ? have less and less need to attract ?savings? (funding) to fund loans ? so they can afford to lower deposit rates and hence increase profits because of the increased spread between savings and deposit rates. ?There cannot be a stable period where savings (funding)=investment under endogenous money as because of the changing size of the revolving fund due to?compound?interest it is forever shifting. ?Also remember investment = funding x turnover ? and turnover is affected both by the turnover period of capital and the amount of excess reserves. ?The relationship between savings and investment is a?profoundly?disequilibrium one.

But what if there were no revolving fund of finance ? what say if the state taxed all bank profits at 100% and returned it to citizens as a citizens dividend. ?In the model the effect would be identical in terms of expansion of lending power as what would be dividends in bankers accounts becomes reserves in citizens accounts and the excess reserves can equally be levered through fractional reserve lending. ?This again is because of the crucial role of excess reserves, here all unspent?balances?become potentially available for ?funding? through fractional reserve lending. ?If an investment is made then the funding for that loan creates savings mostly in other banks that are available for funding. ?Whether that loan is made or the funding is successfully secured is another matter. ?The critical difference between this scenario and that of the previous?paragraph?is that without the revolving fund there is no systematic downward pressure on interest rates. ?Let us assume for the sake of argument that all loan funding comes from active asset purchases by depositors. ?Here we have a 1:1 relationship between the requirements to fund investment and saving. ?Yet even here this supports lending at 1/the reserve ratio ? endogenous monetary expansion. ?A faster rate of money creation than the rate at which it is saved.

But what if the bankers surplus is not returned as dividends, well it?doesn?t?matter because it becomes excess reserves in another bank account and the impact mathematically?on?lending power is identical, it expands to the extent of the reciprocal of the banks reserve ratio.It makes no sense then to complain of ?forced savings? in terms of an expansion of money in advance of saving ? there is no such thing. ?All increases in the rate of lending power must be preceded by an equal increase in saving (funding) ? either directly through asset purchases or indirectly through excess reserves or banks own savings through retention of the bankers surplus (indeed this expansion of the term ?savings? ? in the keynsian sense enables us to see the revolving fund as an example of prior savings as well). ?The ?flow? of money?liabilities?through loans must be exactly?balanced?by the inflow of assets through?principal?and loan repayments and savings to fund these deposit draw-downs, even in those cases where through fractional reserve lending credit is created many times in excess of reserves.

So a key finding here is that the normal operation of the credit cycle, during a period of growth, has a natural?tendency?to push down the interest rate due to the increase in lending power. This is?exacerbated?by the?accelerator?effects of investment, as emphasised by Sraffa, wealth from investment further pushes down interest rates lowering costs and increasing costs raising?wealth?etc.? If the interest rate is falling then during periods of profit there will be an expansion of credit as the cost of?servicing?the credit is low.

With a tendency for the interest rate to fall even a constant level of saving will not lead to a constant level of prices ? a conclusion also reached by Hayek on the basis that a constant level of savings would lead to an increase in output which would be deflationary with constant nominal spending.

Hayek and Mises set out there theory as a defence of the classical theory of growth ? that capital is stored labour and land transferred for products, therefore if you wished to produce more in the future there had to be storage of unused labour and land (savings). ?However our theory shows that the classical theory can be?defended?without any notion of ?forced savings? because credit?acceleration?depends on savings, either direct investment or idle excess reserves, and even with fractional reserve lending with no credit acceleration cash inflows to banks from?productive?loans exactly balance cash outflows, there is zero net inflationary effect.

The reflexive bias against credit and fractional reserve lending then is without basis. ?It does not create per se inflation.

It is another argument?altogether?about whether or not it alters capital structure (the Ricardo effect) ? although as it is?investment?per se which enlarges the pool of funding which provides the real wage and demand for consumer goods ? whether crusoe type?savings or credit ? this argument must fall as well. ?Such complication capital theory nonsense is not necessary to sustain the classical theory of growth ? simple stock flow analysis of cash flows is sufficient.

This is not of?course is not to argue that speculation and debt dont matter ? to the contrary ? simply to clear the way by removing fallacious?Austrian?diversions.

Can though am argument survive that the harmful effects of the Credit Cycle be diminished through 100% reserve money, as Fisher advocated? ?Ill tackle that in a future article.

References

[1] Lords Committee,?Report,?1819, pp. 192-93.

[2]?An illustration of Mr. Joplin?s views on currency,?1825, p.28

[3]?Views on the subject of corn and currency,?1826, p.35.

[4]?Studies in the Theory of International Trade?New York: Harper and Brothers Publishers Viner IV.32

[5] Outline of a Theory of Political Economy Thomas Joplin, London 1823

?r. Hayek on Money and Capital,? in The Economic Journal, Vol. 42, No. 1, March, 1932, pp. 42-53

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384th Military Police Battalion Headed to Afghanistan

FORT WAYNE, Ind. (Indiana's NewsCenter) - On Saturday, the 384th Military Police Battalion out of Fort Wayne will begin a year long deployment to Afghanistan.

More than 100 soldiers will first land in Texas for training. From there, it's off to Afghanistan, where they will train, assist and advise the Afghan National Army with detainee operations.

Friends and family gathered at the Air National Guard base in Fort Wayne on Friday for a send-off celebration. It was both an emotional and cheerful occasion for the soldiers and their families, with an emphasis on supporting the troops as they fight for our freedom overseas.

This is the third deployment for FSC. Pamela Bleuel. Her husband, Michael, takes care of the couple's three daughters while Bleuel is on deployment. To hear their story, click on the attached video.

Source: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/48785121/ns/local_news-fort_wayne_in/

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Saturday, August 25, 2012

Federal Register | Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants ...

We will accept comments from all interested parties until October 23, 2012. Please note that if you are using the Federal eRulemaking Portal (see ADDRESSES below), the deadline for submitting an electronic comment is 11:59 p.m. Eastern Standard Time on this date.

You may submit comments by one of the following methods:

  • Federal eRulemaking Portal: http://www.regulations.gov. Search for FWS-R9-ES-2011-0073, which is the docket number for this rulemaking.
  • U.S. mail or hand delivery: Public Comments Processing, Attn: FWS-R9-ES-2011-0073; Division of Policy and Directives Management; U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service; 4401 N. Fairfax Drive, PDM-2042; Arlington, VA 22203.

We will post all comments on http://www.regulations.gov. This generally means that we will post any personal information you provide us (see the Request for Information section below for more information).

Nicole Alt, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Division of Conservation and Classification, 4401 N Fairfax Drive, Suite 420, Arlington, VA 22203, telephone 703/358-2171; facsimile 703/358-1735; or Marta Nammack, National Marine Fisheries Service, Office of Protected Resources, 1315 East-West Highway, Silver Spring, MD 20910, telephone 301/713-1401; facsimile 301/713-0376. If you use a telecommunications device for the deaf (TDD), call the Federal Information Relay Service (FIRS) at 800-877-8339.

Why we need to publish a rule. The Services have decided to revise our regulations to provide the public earlier access to the draft economic analysis supporting critical habitat designations, consistent with the President's memorandum (Memorandum for the Secretary of the Interior, Proposed Revised Habitat for the Spotted Owl: Minimizing Regulatory Burdens, 77 FR 12985 (March 5, 2012)). The President's February 28, 2012, memorandum directed the Secretary of the Interior to revise the regulations implementing the Endangered Species Act to provide that a draft economic analysis be completed and made available for public comment at the time of publication of a proposed rule to designate critical habitat. Both transparency and public comment will be improved if the public has access to both the scientific analysis and the draft economic analysis at the same time. We are therefore publishing a proposed rule to achieve that goal and seeking public comments. Because the Act and its implementing regulations are jointly administered by the Departments of the Interior and Commerce, the Secretary of the Interior consulted with the Secretary of Commerce on the revision of this regulation. The proposed revisions would also address several court decisions and are informed by conclusions from a 2008 legal opinion by the Solicitor of the Department of the Interior. Specifically, we propose to revise 50 CFR 424.19 to clarify the instructions for making information available to the public, considering the impacts of critical habitat designations, and considering exclusions from critical habitat. The proposed rule is consistent with Executive Order 13563, and in particular with the requirement of retrospective analysis of existing rules, designed ?to make the agency's regulatory program more effective or less burdensome in achieving the regulatory objectives.

This rule proposes the following changes:

(1) We propose to change the title of ? 424.19 from ?Final Rules?impact analysis of critical habitat? to ?Impact analysis and exclusions from critical habitat.? We propose to remove the current reference to ?[f]inal rules? to allow this section to apply to both proposed and final critical habitat rules. We propose to add the term ?exclusions? in the title to more fully describe that this section addresses both impact analyses and how they inform the exclusion process under section 4(b)(2) of the Act for critical habitat.

(2) We propose to divide current ? 424.19 into three paragraphs. The division into three paragraphs closely tracks the requirements of the Act under section 4(b)(2) and provides for a clearly defined process for considerations of exclusions as required under the Act.

(3) Proposed paragraph (a) would implement the direction of the President's February 28, 2012, memorandum by stating that, at the time of proposing a designation of critical habitat, the Secretary will make available for public comment the draft economic analysis of the designation. This proposed paragraph also carries over the first half of the first sentence of the existing regulation, with modifications.

(4) Proposed paragraph (b) would implement the first sentence of section 4(b)(2) of the Act, which directs the Secretary to consider the economic impact, the impact on national security, and any other relevant impact of specifying any particular area as critical habitat. This paragraph states that the impact analysis should focus on the incremental effects resulting from the designation of critical habitat.

(5) Proposed paragraph (c) would implement the second sentence of section 4(b)(2) of the Act, which allows the Secretary to exclude areas from the final critical habitat designation under certain circumstances.

The purposes of the Endangered Species Act of 1973, as amended (16 U.S.C. 1531 et seq.) (Act), are to provide a means to conserve the ecosystems upon which listed species depend, to develop a program for the conservation of listed species, and to achieve the purposes of certain treaties and conventions. Moreover, the Act states that it is the policy of Congress that the Federal Government will seek to conserve threatened and endangered species, and use its authorities in furtherance of the purposes of the Act.

In passing the Act, Congress viewed habitat loss as a significant factor contributing to species endangerment. Habitat destruction and degradation have been a contributing factor causing the decline of a majority of species listed as threatened or endangered under the Act (Wilcove et al. 1998). The present or threatened destruction, modification, or curtailment of a species' habitat or range is included in the Act as one of the factors on which to base a determination that a species may be threatened or endangered. One of the tools provided by the Act to conserve species is designation of critical habitat.

Critical habitat represents the habitat necessary for the species' recovery. Once designated, critical habitat provides for the conservation of listed species in several ways. Specifying the geographic location of critical habitat facilitates implementation of section 7(a)(1) of the Act by identifying areas where Federal agencies can focus their conservation programs and use their authorities to further the purposes of the Act. Designating critical habitat also helps focus the efforts of other conservation partners, such as State and local governments, nongovernmental organizations, and individuals. Furthermore, when designation of critical habitat occurs near the time of listing, it provides early conservation planning guidance to bridge the gap until the Services can complete more thorough recovery planning.

In addition to serving as a notification tool, the designation of critical habitat also provides a significant regulatory protection?the requirement that Federal agencies consult with the Services under section 7(a)(2) of the Act to ensure that their actions are not likely to destroy or adversely modify critical habitat. The Federal Government, through its role in water management, flood control, regulation of resources extraction and other industries, Federal land management, and funding, authorization, or conduct of myriad other activities, may propose actions that are likely to affect critical habitat. The designation of critical habitat ensures that the Federal Government considers the effects of its actions on habitat important to species' conservation and avoids or modifies those actions that are likely to destroy or adversely modify critical habitat. This benefit should be especially valuable when, for example, species presence or habitats are ephemeral in nature, species presence is difficult to establish through surveys (e.g., when a species such as a plant's ?presence? may be limited to a seed bank), or protection of unoccupied habitat is essential for the conservation of the species.

The Secretaries of the Interior and Commerce (the ?Secretaries?) share responsibilities for implementing most of the provisions of the Act. Generally, marine and anadromous species are under the jurisdiction of the Secretary of Commerce and all other species are under the jurisdiction of the Secretary of the Interior, though jurisdiction is shared between the two departments for some species, such as sea turtles and Atlantic salmon. Authority to administer the Act has been delegated by the Secretary of the Interior to the Director of the FWS and by the Secretary of Commerce to the Assistant Administrator for NMFS.

This proposed rule addresses two developments related to 50 CFR 424.19. First, the Solicitor of the Department of the Interior issued a legal opinion on October 3, 2008, regarding the Secretary of the Interior's authority to exclude areas from critical habitat designation under section 4(b)(2) of the Act (M-37016, ?The Secretary's Authority to Exclude Areas from a Critical Habitat Designation under Section 4(b)(2) of the Endangered Species Act? (Oct. 3, 2008)) (DOI 2008). The Solicitor concluded, among other things, that, while the Act requires the Secretary to consider the economic impact, the impact on national security, and any other relevant impact, the decision whether to make exclusions under section 4(b)(2) of the Act is at the discretion of the Secretary; that the Secretary has wide discretion when weighing the benefits of exclusion against the benefits of inclusion; and that it is appropriate for the Secretary to consider impacts of a critical habitat designation on an incremental basis. The Services have based this proposed rule on the reasoning and conclusions of this opinion and the President's February 28, 2012, memorandum.

Second, the President's February 28, 2012 memorandum that directed the Secretary of the Interior to revise the implementing regulations of the Act to provide that an analysis of the economic impacts of a proposed critical habitat designation be completed by the Services and made available to the public at the time of publication of a proposed rule to designate critical habitat. The memo stated: ?Uncertainty on the part of the public may be avoided, and public comment improved, by simultaneous presentation of the best scientific data available and the analysis of economic and other impacts.?

This proposal would revise 50 CFR 424.19 to clarify the instructions for making information available to the public, considering the impacts of critical habitat designations, and considering exclusions from critical habitat.

In proposing the specific changes to the regulations that follow, and setting out the accompanying clarifying discussion in this preamble, the Services are establishing prospective standards only. Nothing in these proposed revised regulations is intended to require (now or at such time as these regulations may become final) that any previously completed critical habitat designation be reevaluated on this basis. Furthermore, if this proposed rule is finalized, we will adopt the requirements of this regulation after the effective date. For proposed critical habitat designations published prior to the effective date of any final regulation, the Services will continue to follow their current practices.

The proposed regulatory changes described below derive from sections 4(b)(2) and 4(b)(8) of the Act. For the convenience of the reader, we are reprinting those sections of the Act here:

(2) The Secretary shall designate critical habitat, and make revisions thereto, under subsection (a)(3) on the basis of the best scientific data available and after taking into consideration the economic impact, the impact on national security, and any other relevant impact, of specifying any particular area as critical habitat. The Secretary may exclude any area from critical habitat if he determines that the benefits of such exclusion outweigh the benefits of specifying such area as part of the critical habitat, unless he determines, based on the best scientific and commercial data available, that the failure to designate such area as critical habitat will result in the extinction of the species concerned.

* * * * *

(8) The publication in the Federal Register of any proposed or final regulation which is necessary or appropriate to carry out the purposes of this Act shall include a summary by the Secretary of the data on which such regulation is based and shall show the relationship of such data to such regulation; and if such regulation designates or revises critical habitat, such summary shall, to the maximum extent practicable, also include a brief description and evaluation of those activities (whether public or private) which, in the opinion of the Secretary, if undertaken may adversely modify such habitat, or may be affected by such designation.

Definition of Key Terms

Under the first sentence of section 4(b)(2) of the Act, the Services are required to take ?into consideration the economic impact, the impact on national security, and any other relevant impact, of specifying any particular area as critical habitat.? This is referred to as the ?impact analysis.? Under the second sentence of section 4(b)(2) of the Act, the Secretary (via delegated authority to the Services) may exclude an area from critical habitat after identifying and weighing the benefits of inclusion and exclusion. This is referred to as the ?weighing of benefits?.

An economic analysis is a tool that informs both the required impact analysis and the discretionary weighing of benefits. Additionally, the draft economic analysis informs the determinations established under other statutes, regulations, or directives that are applicable to rulemakings generally, including critical habitat designations. However, the draft economic analysis only addresses the consideration of the potential economic impact of the designation of critical habitat.

An ?incremental analysis? is a method of determining the probable impacts of the designation that seeks to identify and focus solely on the impacts over and above those caused by existing protections and is used in the impact analysis, weighing of benefits, and economic analysis.

Relationship of the Key Terms

The purpose of the impact analysis is to inform the Secretary's decision about whether and/or how to consider excluding any particular area from a designation of critical habitat, as authorized by the second sentence of section 4(b)(2) of the Act. Information that is used in the impact analysis can come from a variety of sources , one of which is the draft economic analysis of the proposed designation of critical habitat. The Secretary must consider the probable economic, national security and other relevant impacts of the designation of critical habitat. This comparison is done through the method of an incremental analysis; that is, comparing conditions with and without the designation of critical habitat. The incremental analysis methodology is also used in the economic analysis.

We propose to change the title of this section from ?Final rules?impact analysis of critical habitat? to ?Impact analysis and exclusions from critical habitat.? The current reference to ?[f]inal rules? would be deleted to allow for the application of this section to both proposed and final critical habitat rules. We propose to add the term ?exclusions? to the title to more fully describe that this section addresses both impact analyses and how they inform the exclusion process under section 4(b)(2) of the Act for critical habitat.

In the following text, we frequently refer to the current regulatory language at 50 CFR 424.19 and then give detailed information about how we propose to revise that language. For your convenience, we set out the current text of ? 424.19 here:

The Secretary shall identify any significant activities that would either affect an area considered for designation as critical habitat or be likely to be affected by the designation, and shall, after proposing designation of such an area, consider the probable economic and other impacts of the designation upon proposed or ongoing activities. The Secretary may exclude any portion of such an area from the critical habitat if the benefits of such exclusion outweigh the benefits of specifying the area as part of the critical habitat. The Secretary shall not exclude any such area if, based on the best scientific and commercial data available, he determines that the failure to designate that area as critical habitat will result in the extinction of the species concerned.

We propose to divide current ? 424.19 into three paragraphs. The first two sentences of proposed paragraph (a) are new and are being added to comply with the Presidential Memorandum. They would read:

At the time of publication of a proposed rule to designate critical habitat, the Secretary will make available for public comment the draft economic analysis of the designation. The draft economic analysis will be summarized in the Federal Register notice of the proposed designation of critical habitat.

The President's February 28, 2012 memorandum directed the Secretary of the Interior to take `prompt steps' to revise the regulations. The first sentence of this proposed change to the regulations will comply with the President's direction. The second sentence specifies that a summary of the draft economic analysis would be published in the Federal Register notice of the proposed designation of critical habitat. The draft economic analysis itself would be made available on http://www.regulations.gov along with the proposed designation of critical habitat or on other Web sites as deemed appropriate by the Services.

The third sentence of proposed paragraph (a) would carry over the first half of the first sentence of the existing ? 424.19, with modifications. It would read:

The Secretary will, to the maximum extent practicable, when proposing and finalizing designation of critical habitat, briefly describe and evaluate in the Federal Register notice any significant activities that are known to have the potential to affect an area considered for designation as critical habitat or be likely to be affected by the designation.

This language implements section 4(b)(8) of the Act. We propose to add ?to the maximum extent practicable? to track the statutory language. For the same reason, we would replace ?identify? with ?briefly describe and evaluate.? We emphasize, however, the statutory term ?brief,? i.e., the description and evaluation is not meant to be an exhaustive analysis. The Services cannot predict the outcome of any potential section 7 consultation. Rather, the purpose of this language in section 4(b)(8) is merely to alert the public generally to the relationship between the designation of critical habitat and activities on the landscape. We add the phrase ?in the Federal Register notice? to make clear that this brief description and evaluation will be published in the Federal Register notice of the designation of critical habitat.

We would keep the modifier ?significant? with respect to activities, which clarifies that the statutory language should not be interpreted to apply to all activities, however insignificant. We propose to replace ?would * * * affect an area? with ?are known to have the potential to affect an area? to make clear that the Services are not able to predict with certainty what activities to address, but must infer the activities from the best available information.

Proposed paragraph (b) would implement the first sentence of section 4(b)(2) of the Act (?The Secretary shall designate critical habitat * * * after taking into consideration the economic impact, the impact on national security, and any other relevant impact, of specifying any particular area as critical habitat.?). The proposed first sentence would carry over the second half of the first sentence of the existing ? 424.19, with modifications, and would thus repeat the basic statutory requirement. We propose to replace ?after proposing designation of such an area? with ?[p]rior to finalizing the designation of critical habitat? to expressly provide for more flexibility in the timing of the consideration. The proposed first sentence would read:

Prior to finalizing the designation of critical habitat, the Secretary will consider the probable economic, national security, and other relevant impacts of the designation upon proposed or ongoing activities.

The statute itself requires only that the consideration occur?it does not specify when in the rulemaking process it must occur. That being said, we stress that the Act's legislative history is clear that Congress intended consideration of economic impacts to neither affect nor delay the listing of species. Therefore, regardless of the point in the rulemaking process at which consideration of economic impacts begins, that consideration must be kept analytically distinct from, and have no effect on the outcome or timing of, listing determinations. We also note that an draft economic analysis is only one of many pieces of information the Secretary uses in consideration of whether to exclude areas under section 4(b)(2) of the Act.

Also in proposed paragraph (b), we retained the phrases ?probable? and ?upon proposed or ongoing activities.? These phrases provide guidance that the Services should not consider improbable or speculative impacts, and clarify that whatever impacts the Services consider are merely generalized predictions. However, the Services do not intend that the term ?probable? requires a showing of statistical probability or any specific numeric likelihood. Moreover, the ?activities? at issue are only those that would require consultation under section 7 of the Act. See DOI 2008 at 10-12. Although impact analyses are based on the best scientific data available, any predictions of future impacts are inherently uncertain and subject to change. Thus, the Services should consider the likely general impact of the designation and not make specific predictions of the outcome of particular section 7 consultations that have not in fact been completed.

We propose to add the phrase ?national security? to reflect statutory amendments to section 4(b)(2) of the Act (National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2004, Pub. L. 108-136). Also, we propose to add the word ?relevant? to the other impacts that the Services must consider to more closely track the statutory language.

The first sentence of proposed paragraph (b) uses the term ?consider,? which reflects the statutory term ?consideration? in section 4(b)(2) of the Act. The proposed regulations would not further define this term. However, we agree with the Solicitor's 2008 Opinion that, in the context of section 4(b)(2) of the Act, to ?consider? impacts the Services must gather available information about the impacts on proposed or ongoing activities that would be subject to section 7 consultation, and then must give careful thought to the relevant information in the context of deciding whether to proceed with an exclusion analysis. See DOI 2008 at 14-16.

The second and third sentences of proposed paragraph (b) are additions that would provide further guidance on how the Services will consider impacts of critical habitat designation. They read:

The Secretary will consider impacts at a scale that the Secretary determines to be appropriate, and will compare the impacts with and without the designation. Impacts may be qualitatively or quantitatively described.

The first phrase of the second sentence, ?[t]he Secretary will consider impacts at a scale that the Secretary determines to be appropriate,? would clarify that the Secretary has the discretion to determine the scale at which impacts are considered. The Secretary would determine the appropriate scale based on what would most meaningfully or sufficiently inform the decision in a particular context. For example, for a wide-ranging species with many square miles (kilometers) of potential habitat across several States, a relatively coarse-scale analysis would be sufficiently informative, while for a narrow endemic species, with specialized habitat requirements and relatively few discrete occurrences, it might be appropriate to engage in a relatively fine-scale analysis for the designation of critical habitat. The Secretary may also use this discretion to focus the analysis on areas where impacts are more likely, e.g., non-Federal lands. See DOI 2008 at 17.

The second phrase of the second sentence, ?and will compare the impacts with and without designation,? would clarify that impact analyses evaluate the incremental impacts of the designation. This is sometimes referred to as an ?incremental analysis? or ?baseline approach.? For the purpose of the impacts analysis required by the first sentence of section 4(b)(2) of the Act, the incremental impacts are those probable economic, national security, and other relevant impacts of the proposed critical habitat designation on ongoing or potential Federal actions that would not otherwise occur without the designation. Put another way, the incremental impacts are the probable impacts on Federal actions for which the designation is the ?but for? cause.

To determine the incremental impacts of designating critical habitat, the Services compare the protections provided by the critical habitat designation (the world with the particular designation) to the combined effects of all conservation-related protections for the species (including listing) and its habitat in the absence of the designation of critical habitat (the world without designation, i.e., the baseline condition). Thus, determining the incremental impacts requires identifying at a general level the additional protections that a critical habitat designation would provide for the species; this does not require the prejudging of the precise outcomes of hypothetical section 7 consultations. Finally, the Services determine what probable impacts those incremental protections will have on Federal actions, in terms of economic, national security, or other relevant impacts (the incremental impacts). See DOI 2008 at 11. Potential impacts to Federal actions could occur on private as well as public lands.

In addition to using an incremental analysis in the impacts analysis, the Secretary will use an incremental analysis in the weighing of benefits under the second sentence of section 4(b)(2), if the Secretary decides to undertake that optional analysis. In that context, the Secretary will use an incremental analysis to identify the benefits (economic and otherwise) of excluding an area from critical habitat, and will likewise use an incremental analysis to identify the benefits of specifying an area as critical habitat.

Benefits that may be addressed in the weighing of benefits can result from additional protections, in the form of project modifications or conservation measures due to consultation under section 7 of the Act; conversely, a benefit of exclusion can be avoiding costs associated with those protections. In addition, benefits (and associated costs) can result if the designation triggers compliance with separate authorities that are exercised in part as a result of the Federal critical habitat designation (e.g., additional reviews, procedures, or protections under State or local jurisdictional authorities). See DOI 2008 at 22-23.

Finally, because its primary purpose is to facilitate the impact analysis and the weighing of benefits, the draft and final economic analyses should focus on the incremental economic benefits of the designation.

Use of an incremental analysis in each of these contexts is the only logical way to implement the Act. The purpose of the impact analysis (described in the third sentence of proposed paragraph (a)) is to inform the Secretary's decision about whether to engage in the optional weighing of benefits under the second sentence of section 4(b)(2) of the Act (addressed in proposed paragraph (c)). To understand the difference that designation of an area makes and, therefore, the benefits of including an area in the designation or excluding an area from the designation, one must compare the hypothetical world with the designation to the hypothetical world without the designation. This is why the Services compare the protections provided by the designation to the protections without the designation. This is consistent with the general guidance given by the Office of Management and Budget to executive branch agencies as to how to conduct cost-benefit analyses. See Circular A-4 (available at http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars/a004/a-4.pdf).

Nonetheless, between 2002 and 2008, the Services generally did not conduct an incremental analysis; instead they conducted a broader analysis of impacts pursuant to New Mexico Cattlegrowers Ass'n v. FWS, 248 F.3d 1277 (10th Cir. 2001). The genesis of the court's conclusion in that case was the definitions of ?jeopardize the continued existence of? and ?destruction or adverse modification,? which are the standards for section 7 consultations in the Services' 1986 joint regulations. See 50 CFR 402.02. Both phrases were defined in a similar manner in that they both looked to impacts on both survival and recovery of the species.

The court in New Mexico Cattle Growers noted the similarity of the definitions, concluding that they were ?virtually identical? and that the definition of ?destruction or adverse modification? was in effect subsumed into the jeopardy standard. 248 F.3d at 1283. According to the court, these definitions thus led FWS to conclude that designation of critical habitat usually had no incremental impact beyond the impacts of the listing itself. Thus, given these definitions, the court concluded that doing only an incremental analysis rendered meaningless the requirement of considering the impacts of the designation, as there were no incremental impacts to consider. Although the court noted that the regulatory definitions had previously been called into question, id. at 1283 n.2 (citing Sierra Club v. U.S. Fish & Wildlife Serv., 245 F.3d 434 (5th Cir. 2001)), the validity of the regulations had not been challenged in the case before it. Instead, to cure this apparent problem, the court held that the FWS must analyze ?all of the impacts of a critical habitat designation, regardless of whether those impacts are attributable co-extensively to other causes.?Id. at 1285.

In 2004, the Ninth Circuit (Gifford Pinchot Task Force v. USFWS, 378 F.3d 1059 (9th Cir. 2004)) invalidated the prior regulatory definition of ?destruction or adverse modification.? The court held that the definition gave too little protection to critical habitat by not giving weight to Congress's intent that designated critical habitat support the recovery of listed species. Since then, the Services have been applying ?destruction or adverse modification? in a way that allows the Services to define an incremental effect of designation. This eliminated the predicate for the Tenth Circuit's analysis. Therefore, the Services have concluded that it is appropriate to consider the impacts of designation on an incremental basis.

Indeed, no court outside of the Tenth Circuit has followed New Mexico Cattle Growers after the Ninth Circuit issued Gifford Pinchot Task Force. In particular, the Ninth Circuit recently concluded that the ?faulty premise? that led to the invalidation of the incremental analysis approach in 2001 no longer applies. Arizona Cattle Growers Ass'n v. Salazar, 606 F.3d 1160, 1173 (9th Cir. 2010). The court held, in light of this change in circumstances, that ?the FWS may employ the baseline approach in analyzing a critical habitat designation.?Id. In so holding, the court noted that the baseline approach is ?more logical than? the coextensive approach. Id.; see also:

  • Maddalena v. FWS, No. 08-CV-02292-H (AJB) (S.D. Cal. Aug. 5, 2010);
  • Otay Mesa Property L.P. v. DOI, 714 F. Supp. 2d 73 (D.D.C. 2010);
  • Fisher v. Salazar, 656 F. Supp. 2d 1357 (N.D. Fla. 2009);
  • Home Builders Ass'n of No. Cal. v. USFWS, 2006 U.S. Dist. Lexis 80255 (E.D. Cal. Nov. 2, 2006), reconsideration granted in part, 2007 U.S. Dist. Lexis 5208 (Jan. 24, 2007), aff'd, 616 F.3d 983 (9th Cir. 2010);
  • CBD v. BLM, 422 F. Supp. 2d 1115 (N.D. Cal. 2006);
  • Cape Hatteras Access Preservation Alliance v. DOI, 344 F. Supp. 2d 108 (D.D.C. 2004).

The Solicitor's opinion also reaches this conclusion. See DOI 2008 at 18-22.

The Services may still, in appropriate circumstances, also analyze the broader impacts of conserving the species at issue to put the incremental impacts of the designation in context, or for complying with the requirements of other statutes or policies. See:

  • Arizona Cattle Growers' Ass'n v. Kempthorne, 534 F. Supp. 2d 1013 (D. Ariz. 2008), aff'd, 606 F.3d 1160 (9th Cir. 2010);
  • Home Builders Ass'n of No. Cal. v. USFWS, 2007 U.S. Dist. Lexis 5208 (E.D. Cal. Jan. 24, 2007), aff'd, 616 F.3d 983 (9th Cir. 2010);
  • DOI 2008 at 21.

The third sentence of proposed paragraph (b) would clarify that impacts may be qualitatively or quantitatively described. In other words, there is no absolute requirement that impacts of any kind be quantified. See Cape Hatteras Access Preservation Alliance v. DOI, 731 F. Supp. 2d 15 (D.D.C. Aug. 17, 2010).

Proposed paragraph (c) would implement the second sentence of section 4(b)(2) of the Act, which allows the Secretary to exclude areas from the final critical habitat designation under certain circumstances. It would read:

The Secretary has discretion to exclude any particular area from the critical habitat upon a determination that the benefits of such exclusion outweigh the benefits of specifying the particular area as part of the critical habitat. In identifying those benefits, in addition to the impacts considered pursuant to paragraph (b) of this section, the Secretary may consider and assign the weight to any benefits relevant to the designation of critical habitat. The Secretary, however, will not exclude any particular area if, based on the best scientific and commercial data available, the Secretary determines that the failure to designate that area as critical habitat will result in the extinction of the species concerned.

The first sentence of proposed paragraph (c) would carry over the second sentence of the existing section, with modifications. The phrase ?the Secretary has discretion? would be added to emphasize that the exclusion of particular areas under section 4(b)(2) of the Act is always optional. See DOI 2008 at 6-9, 17. For example, the Secretary may choose not to exclude an area even if the impact analysis and subsequent balancing indicates that the benefits of exclusion exceed the benefits of inclusion and such exclusion would not result in the extinction of the species.

Additional minor changes to the first sentence would make it more closely track the statutory language.

The second sentence of paragraph (c) is new. They would codify aspects of the legislative history, the case law, and the Services' practices with respect to exclusions. The second sentence would clarify the breadth of the Secretary's discretion with respect to the types of benefits to consider. See:

  • CBD v. Norton, 240 F. Supp. 2d 1090 (D. Ariz. 2003);
  • Home Builders Ass'n of No. Cal. v. USFWS, 2006 U.S. Dist. Lexis 80255 (E.D. Cal. Nov. 2, 2006), reconsideration granted in part 2007 U.S. Dist. Lexis 5208 (Jan. 24, 2007), aff'd, 616 F.3d 983 (9th Cir. 2010);
  • DOI 2008 at 25-28.

For example, the Secretary may consider effects on tribal sovereignty and the conservation efforts of non-Federal partners when considering excluding specific areas from a designation of critical habitat. The House Committee report that accompanied the 1978 amendments that added Section 4(b)(2) to the Act stated that ?[t]he consideration and weight given to any particular impact is completely within the Secretary's discretion.? H.R. Rep. No. 95-1625, at 17. Subsequent case law and the Solicitor's Opinion have reflected that view, as does the rule proposed here. See:

  • CBD v. Salazar, 2011 U.S. Dist. Lexis 26967 (D.D.C. Mar. 16, 2011);
  • Wyoming State Snowmobile Ass'n v. USFWS, 741 F. Supp. 2d 1245 (D. Wyo. 2010);
  • DOI 2008 at 24.

The third sentence of paragraph (c) essentially repeats the third sentence of the existing section. This sentence incorporates the limitation in the last clause of section 4(b)(2) of the Act. See DOI 2008 at 25.

Any final regulation based on this proposal will consider information and recommendations timely submitted from all interested parties. We, solicit comments, information, and recommendations from governmental agencies, Native American tribes, the scientific community, industry groups, environmental interest groups, and any other interested parties on this proposed regulation. All comments and materials received by the date listed in DATES above will be considered prior to the approval of a final document.

This rulemaking does not modify the current methods and procedures of identifying and evaluating potential incremental impacts of a designation of critical habitat. Nonetheless, we will accept comments on the Services' approach to incremental impacts as well as on the manner in which particular impacts are considered and weighed.

You may submit your information concerning this proposed rule by one of the methods listed in ADDRESSES. If you submit information via http://www.regulations.gov, your entire submission?including any personal identifying information?will be posted on the Web site. If your submission is made via a hardcopy that includes personal identifying information, you may request at the top of your document that we withhold this personal identifying information from public review. However, we cannot guarantee that we will be able to do so. We will post all hardcopy submissions on http://www.regulations.gov.

Information and supporting documentation that we receive in response to this proposed rule will be available for you to review at http://www.regulations.gov, or by appointment, during normal business hours, at the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Division of Conservation and Classification (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).

Regulatory Planning and Review (Executive Orders 12866 and 13563)

Executive Order 12866 provides that the Office of Management and Budget's Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA) will review all significant rules. The Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs has determined that this rule is significant because it raises novel legal or policy issues.

Executive Order 13563 reaffirms the principles of E.O. 12866 while calling for improvements in the nation's regulatory system to promote predictability, to reduce uncertainty, and to use the best, most innovative, and least burdensome tools for achieving regulatory ends. The executive order directs agencies to consider regulatory approaches that reduce burdens and maintain flexibility and freedom of choice for the public where these approaches are relevant, feasible, and consistent with regulatory objectives. E.O. 13563 emphasizes further that regulations must be based on the best available science and that the rulemaking process must allow for public participation and an open exchange of ideas. We have developed this rule in a manner consistent with these requirements. This proposed rule is consistent with Executive Order 13563, and in particular with the requirement of retrospective analysis of existing rules, designed ?to make the agency's regulatory program more effective or less burdensome in achieving the regulatory objectives.?

Regulatory Flexibility Act

Under the Regulatory Flexibility Act (as amended by the Small Business Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act (SBREFA) of 1996; 5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.), whenever a Federal agency is required to publish a notice of rulemaking for any proposed or final rule, it must prepare, and make available for public comment, a regulatory flexibility analysis that describes the effect of the rule on small entities (i.e., small businesses, small organizations, and small government jurisdictions). However, no regulatory flexibility analysis is required if the head of an agency, or his designee, certifies that the rule will not have a significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities. SBREFA amended the Regulatory Flexibility Act to require Federal agencies to provide a statement of the factual basis for certifying that a rule will not have a significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities. We are certifying that these proposed regulations would not have a significant economic effect on a substantial number of small entities. The following discussion explains our rationale.

The proposed revisions to the regulations revises and clarifies the regulations governing how the Services analyze and communicate the impacts of a possible designation of critical habitat, and how the Services may exercise the Secretary's discretion to exclude areas from designations. The proposed revisions to the regulations apply solely to the Services' procedures for the timing, scale, and scope of impact analyses and considering exclusions from critical habitat. The changes included in these proposed regulatory revisions serve to clarify, and do not expand the reach of, potential designations of critical habitat.

NMFS and FWS are the only entities that are directly affected by this rule because we are the only entities that can designate critical habitat. No external entities, including any small businesses, small organizations, or small governments, will experience any economic impacts from this rule. Therefore, the only effect on any external entities large or small would likely be positive through reducing any uncertainty on the part of the public by simultaneous presentation of the best scientific data available and the economic analysis of the designation of critical habitat.

Unfunded Mandates Reform Act (2 U.S.C. 1501 et seq.)

In accordance with the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act (2 U.S.C. 1501 et seq.):

(a) On the basis of information contained in the ?Regulatory Flexibility Act? section above, these proposed regulations would not ?significantly or uniquely? affect small governments. We have determined and certify pursuant to the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act, 2 U.S.C. 1502, that these regulations would not impose a cost of $100 million or more in any given year on local or State governments or private entities. A Small Government Agency Plan is not required. As explained above, small governments would not be affected because the proposed regulations would not place additional requirements on any city, county, or other local municipalities.

(b) These proposed regulations would not produce a Federal mandate on State, local, or tribal governments or the private sector of $100 million or greater in any year; that is, this proposed rule is not a ?significant regulatory action?' under the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act. These proposed regulations would impose no obligations on State, local, or tribal governments.

Takings (E.O. 12630)

In accordance with Executive Order 12630, these proposed regulations would not have significant takings implications. These proposed regulations would not pertain to ?taking? of private property interests, nor would they directly affect private property. A takings implication assessment is not required because these proposed regulations (1) would not effectively compel a property owner to suffer a physical invasion of property and (2) would not deny all economically beneficial or productive use of the land or aquatic resources. These proposed regulations would substantially advance a legitimate government interest (conservation and recovery of endangered and threatened species) and would not present a barrier to all reasonable and expected beneficial use of private property.

Federalism (E.O. 13132)

In accordance with Executive Order 13132, we have considered whether these proposed regulations would have significant Federalism effects and have determined that a Federalism assessment is not required. These proposed regulations pertain only to determinations to designate critical habitat under section 4 of the Act, and would not have substantial direct effects on the States, on the relationship between the Federal Government and the States, or on the distribution of power and responsibilities among the various levels of government.

Civil Justice Reform (E.O. 12988)

These proposed regulations do not unduly burden the judicial system and meet the applicable standards provided in sections 3(a) and 3(b)(2) of Executive Order 12988. These proposed regulations would clarify how the Services will make designations of critical habitat under section 4 of the Act.

Government-to-Government Relationship With Tribes

In accordance with the President's memorandum of April 29, 1994, ?Government-to-Government Relations with Native American Tribal Governments? (59 FR 22951), Executive Order 13175, and the Department of the Interior's manual at 512 DM 2, we readily acknowledge our responsibility to communicate meaningfully with recognized Federal Tribes on a government-to-government basis. In our proposed regulations, we explain that the Secretaries have discretion to exclude any particular area from the critical habitat upon a determination that the benefits of exclusion outweigh the benefits of specifying the particular area as part of the critical habitat. In identifying those benefits, the Secretaries may consider effects on tribal sovereignty.

Paperwork Reduction Act

This proposed rule does not contain any new collections of information that require approval by the OMB under the Paperwork Reduction Act. This proposed rule would not impose recordkeeping or reporting requirements on State or local governments, individuals, businesses, or organizations. An agency may not conduct or sponsor, and a person is not required to respond to, a collection of information unless it displays a currently valid OMB control number.

National Environmental Policy Act

We are analyzing these proposed regulations in accordance with the criteria of the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA), the Department of the Interior Manual (318 DM 2.2(g) and 6.3(D)), and Department of Commerce Departmental Administrative Order 216-6. We will complete our analysis, in compliance with NEPA, before finalizing these proposed regulations.

Energy Supply, Distribution or Use E.O. 13211)

Executive Order 13211 requires agencies to prepare Statements of Energy Effects when undertaking certain actions. These proposed regulations, if made final, are not expected to affect energy supplies, distribution, and use. Therefore, this action is not a significant energy action, and no Statement of Energy Effects is required.

Clarity of This Proposed Rule

We are required by Executive Orders 12866 and 12988 and by the Presidential Memorandum of June 1, 1998, to write all rules in plain language. This means that each rule or policy we publish must:

(a) Be logically organized;

(b) Use the active voice to address readers directly;

(c) Use clear language rather than jargon;

(d) Be divided into short sections and sentences; and

(e) Use lists and tables wherever possible.

If you feel that we have not met these requirements, send us comments by one of the methods listed in ADDRESSES. To better help us revise the proposed rule, your comments should be as specific as possible. For example, you should tell us the sections or paragraphs that are unclearly written, which sections or sentences are too long, the sections where you feel lists or tables would be useful, etc.

A complete list of all references cited in this document is available on the Internet at http://www.regulations.gov at Docket No. FWS-R9-ES-2011-0073 or upon request from the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).

We are taking this action under the authority of the Endangered Species Act of 1973, as amended (16 U.S.C. 1531 et seq.).

Administrative practice and procedure, Endangered and threatened species.

1. The authority citation for part 424 is revised to read as follows:

16 U.S.C. 1531 et seq.

2. Revise ? 424.19, including the section heading, to read as follows:

? 424.19 Impact analysis and exclusions from critical habitat.

(a) At the time of publication of a proposed rule to designate critical habitat, the Secretary will make available for public comment the draft economic analysis of the designation. The draft economic analysis will be summarized in the Federal Register notice of the proposed designation of critical habitat.

The Secretary will, to the maximum extent practicable, when proposing and finalizing designation of critical habitat, briefly describe and evaluate in the Federal Register notice any significant activities that are known to have the potential to affect an area considered for designation as critical habitat or be likely to be affected by the designation.

(b) Prior to finalizing the designation of critical habitat, the Secretary will consider the probable economic, national security, and other relevant impacts of the designation upon proposed or ongoing activities. The Secretary will consider impacts at a scale that the Secretary determines to be appropriate, and will compare the impacts with and without the designation. Impacts may be qualitatively or quantitatively described.

(c) The Secretary has discretion to exclude any particular area from the critical habitat upon a determination that the benefits of such exclusion outweigh the benefits of specifying the particular area as part of the critical habitat. In identifying those benefits, in addition to the impacts considered pursuant to paragraph (b) of this section, the Secretary may consider and assign the weight to any benefits relevant to the designation of critical habitat. The Secretary, however, will not exclude any particular area if, based on the best scientific and commercial data available, the Secretary determines that the failure to designate that area as critical habitat will result in the extinction of the species concerned.

Dated: June 1, 2012.

Eileen Sobeck,

Acting Assistant Secretary for Fish and Wildlife and Parks, U.S. Department of the Interior.

Dated: August 13, 2012.

Alan D. Risenhoover,

Acting Deputy Assistant Administrator for Regulatory Programs, National Marine Fisheries Service.

[FR Doc. 2012-20438 Filed 8-23-12; 8:45 am]

BILLING CODE 4310-55-P; 3510-22-P

Source: https://www.federalregister.gov/articles/2012/08/24/2012-20438/endangered-and-threatened-wildlife-and-plants-revisions-to-the-regulations-for-impact-analyses-of

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